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Industry may face shortage of shipping space for palm oil in 2007

The impending entry of the MARPOL Annex II and the International Bulk Chemicals Code effective 1 January 2007 that will affect all vessels engaged in the carriage of chemicals and vegetable oil is expected to create severe shortage of shipping space for palm oil shippers in Malaysia.
 
Effective 1 January 2007, all vessels, that carry chemicals and oil like substances including vegetable oils in bulk will be subject to substantive revisions of MARPOL 73/78 Annex II and the International Bulk Chemicals (IBC) Code.
 
Vegetable oil shippers, including shippers of palm oil in Malaysia are bracing themselves of potential shortage of shipping space as shipowners are also likely shift their preference to the carriage of chemicals with the entry of the new International Maritime Organisation-mandated regulation.
 
Freight rates for shipping palm oil is also likely to increase on account of the new regulations which shipowners must comply with added cost and well as because of short supply of ships.
 
Also, shipowners are also likely to deploy their ships in the trade to carry more chemicals that offers premium freight rates compared with the carriage of vegetable oils, including palm oil.
 
It is estimated that trade in vegetable oil involves the carriage of about 35 million tones moved by about 1.500 tankers of sizes between 15,000 dwt – 25,000 dwt from various markets worldwide.
 
“Impending revisions to MARPOL Annex II effecting the reclassification of chemicals and vegetable oils and fats will bring about changes in the trading possibilities for the chemical and products tanker fleets,” reported the Independent Tanker Operators Organisation (INTERTANKO).
 
INTERTANKO has made a study of these trades and of the availability of tonnage, involving over 1,100 vessels.
 
It concludes that there will be a significant impact on both the product tanker and chemical tanker trades, and that there will be a nominal surplus of about 5.7m deadweight (about 20%) of IMO Type 2/3 tankers from 2007 onwards after the reclassification comes into effect.
 
However it should be borne in mind that whatever the final decision is on cargo reclassification, the market forces of the day will ultimately decide the actual, physical tonnage availability in each ship type.
 
The chemical and products tanker operators will decide how they can best trade their tonnage between the regulated and the unregulated cargoes and therefore which tankers end up in which trades.
 
The revisions to MARPOL Annex II, have been under review and discussion at the IMO and elsewhere for over 10 years, and have been driven by the desire of various Flag States to regulate all Annex II products, including Vegetable Oils, according to their physical properties and their carriage and discharge requirements Regulating chemicals, oils and fats that are presently unregulated will have an effect on the products tanker market as well as on the chemical tanker market.
 
This is because today many of the "easy" chemicals and all the vegetable oils & fats can be carried by product tankers as well as chemical tankers, whereas the proposed reclassification means that the majority of these cargoes may only be carried on specific IMO tanker types.
 
Industry sources noted that once the revisions are implemented a severe shortage of tonnage (approved to carry vegetable oils) will result.

               

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